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Last Loaded on Web: Thursday, May 01, 2008
EIU: Country Risk And Forecasts contains the full text of the EIU's premium Country Risk Service and Country Forecasts. The Country Risk Service provides insightful analysis of the short- and medium-term economic creditworthiness of over 90 countries. Country Forecasts gives a medium-term outlook into economic, political and business trends in 58 countries. Risk assessments and forecasts are updated quarterly for each market.
USE FILE 628to find GDP, interest rates, risk ratings, and other key economic factors for a country or region; to find reports on a country's economic or political outlook. USE SF=TABLEto see records with data in tabular format. SELECT SF=TABLE AND CN=WORLDEXPAND MT=to see a title list of all reports. USE REPORT TITLESto gather together all the records of an individual report. SELECT CN=TURKEY AND PY=1996REPORT S1/TITLES |
EIU: Country Risk and Forecasts provides all the information you need to assess the current and future opportunities and risks of operating in overseas markets.
Each country risk report includes:
Each country forecast report provides outlooks for the following:
| Dates Covered: | January 1989 to the present |
|---|---|
| File Size: | 436,000 records as of February 2006 |
| Update Frequency: | Weekly |
| ACRONYM | CATEGORY NAME |
|---|---|
| BUSECON | Business Economics |
| COUNTRIE | Country Report |
| EIU | Economist Intelligence Unit Files |
| GOVT | Government |
| JAPANNEW | Japanese Business News |
| MULTIIND | General Industry Information |
|
EIU: Country Risk and Forecast is provided by The Economist Intelligence Unit. Questions concerning file content should be directed to: The Economist Building 111 West 57th Street New York, NY 10019-2211
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While every effort is made to assure accuracy and reliability of the material contained herein, the Economist Intelligence Unit cannot be held responsible for damages of any kind in connection with the use of this product.
| DIALOG(R)File 628:EIU: Country Risk and Forecasts | |
| (c) 2006 Economist Intelligence Unit. All rts. reserv. | |
| 0000010205 | |
| /TI | Outlook for 2006-07: Domestic politics |
| /MT,MT= | Main Report Title: Country Risk Service India February 2006 Updater |
| CN= | COUNTRY: INDIA |
| JN=,PD=,PY= | JOURNAL: Country Risk Service India - February 8, 2006 |
| WORD COUNT: 614 | |
| /LP,/TX | Although it faces a number of threats and appears to be increasingly |
| accident-prone, the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) coalition, led by the | |
| Indian National Congress, is likely to remain in power in 2006-07. Tensions | |
| between Congress, its coalition allies and the mainly communist Left Front | |
| parties that support the coalition will make for a volatile political | |
| environment. The survival of the coalition cannot therefore be taken for | |
| granted. Coalition member parties lost power in the states of Jharkhand and | |
| Bihar in 2005, and the Congress-led coalition in the state of Karnataka | |
| collapsed in late January 2006. There have also been a number of corruption | |
| scandals involving Congress, including the Iraqi oil-for-food fraud, which | |
| resulted in the resignation of the foreign minister, Natwar Singh, in | |
| November 2005, and a new twist in the 1986 Bofors arms deal, which | |
| contributed to the fall in 1989 of the Congress prime minister, Rajiv | |
| Ghandi. However, support for Congress is holding up well in nationwide | |
| opinion polls, helped by the buoyancy of the economy and the weakness of | |
| the main opposition party, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). The | |
| untarnished reputation of the prime minister, Manmohan Singh, has helped | |
| him to brush off calls for his resignation, and he faces no immediate | |
| threat to his power. | |
| /TX | But Mr Singh cannot afford to rest on his laurels. His first cabinet |
| reshuffle, on January 29th this year, saw the removal of the high-profile | |
| and independent-minded petroleum minister, Mani Shankar Aiyar, and ten new | |
| appointments to less important ministries. Significantly, Mr Singh's | |
| decisions to retain the external affairs portfolio and to replace Mr Aiyar | |
| with a Congress veteran, Murli Deora, suggests that the prime minister and | |
| the powerful Congress party president, Sonia Ghandi, want to exert a firm | |
| grip over foreign and energy policy. These are two areas that will be | |
| crucial to India's closer relationship with the US over the next few | |
| months, and especially when the US president, George W Bush, visits India | |
| in March. Mr Singh could announce another reshuffle, probably involving the | |
| external affairs portfolio, shortly after Mr Bush's visit. | |
| Congress's minority position in the Lok Sabha (the lower house of | |
| parliament) and its continuing reliance on regional parties, as well as the | |
| Left Front, for support remain a problem. It cannot be assumed that either | |
| group of parties will be willing to compromise over key issues | |
| indefinitely. In addition, instability and surprise results in state-level | |
| politics could unsettle the fragile UPA coalition. The state assembly | |
| elections in West Bengal and Kerala in mid-2006 will strain already tense | |
| relations between Congress and the Communist Party of India (Marxist), or | |
| CPI (M), the largest Left Front party, on whose support the UPA relies to | |
| control parliament. The CPI (M)'s conditional support for the government | |
| goes some way towards bearing out the view of the BJP that dislike of the | |
| main opposition party is the only cohesive force operating in the current | |
| government. | |
| Since it fell from power, the BJP has been plagued by internal dissent and | |
| in-fighting. However, it has recently been galvanised by a state assembly | |
| victory in Bihar, as well as by internal elections that produced a new | |
| party president, Rajnath Singh, the former chief minister of India's most | |
| populous state, Uttar Pradesh. Furthermore, there is a strong | |
| anti-incumbency factor in Indian politics (whereby voters become | |
| disillusioned with the party in power). It is therefore possible that the | |
| BJP's fortunes could turn around at short notice, just as Congress's did at | |
| the last general election in May 2004 (although it won only eight more | |
| seats than the BJP). | |
| (c) 2006 Economist Intelligence Unit | |
SAMPLE REPORT TITLES | |
| ?s cn=peru and forecast?/mt and py=1997 | |
| 1265 CN=PERU | |
| 47027 FORECAST?/MT | |
| 22917 PY=1997 | |
| S1 138 CN=PERU AND FORECAST?/MT AND PY=1997 | |
| ?report s1/titles | |
| DIALOG(R) ONLINE TABLE OF CONTENTS | |
| LIST OF REPORT TITLES | |
| ITEM NUMBER, MAIN TITLE | |
| ------------------------------------------------------ | |
| 1 Peru-Country Forecasts 971110 | |
| F628: Ctry Risk & Forecasts | |
| November 1997/15 records | |
| 2 Peru-Country Forecasts 970801 | |
| F628: Ctry Risk & Forecasts | |
| August 1997/58 records | |
| 3 Peru-Country Forecasts 970509 | |
| F628: Ctry Risk & Forecasts | |
| May 1997/15 records | |
| 4 Peru-Country Forecasts 970228 | |
| F628: Ctry Risk & Forecasts | |
| February 1997/50 records | |
| Enter one item number, P for next page, or EXIT to leave TITLES: | |
| ?exit | |
| Leaving Report/TITLES... |
| SEARCH SUFFIX |
DISPLAY CODE |
FIELD NAME |
INDEXING |
SELECT EXAMPLES |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | None | All Basic Index Fields | Word | S POLITICS |
| /CN | CN | Country Name1 | Word | S INDIA/CN |
| /LP | LP | Lead Paragraph | Word | S POLITICAL(W)ENVIRONMENT/LP |
| /MT | MT | Main Title1 | Word | S COUNTRY RISK?/MT |
| /TI | TI | Headline/Section Title | Word | S DOMESTIC(W)POLITICS/TI |
| /TX | TX | Text | Word | S CONGRESS(W)PARTY/TX |
1 Searchable in the Basic Index and in the Additional Indexes.
| SEARCH PREFIX |
DISPLAY CODE |
FIELD NAME |
INDEXING |
SELECT EXAMPLES |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | AZ | DIALOG Accession Number | ||
| CN= | CN | Country Name1 | Phrase | S CN=INDIA |
| DT= | DT | Document Type2 | Phrase | S DT=REPORT |
| JN= | JN | Journal Name | Phrase | S JN=COUNTRY RISK SERVICE? |
| LA= | LA | Language2 | Phrase | S LA=ENGLISH |
| MT= | MT | Main Title1 | Phrase | S MT=COUNTRY RISK SERVICE INDIA? |
| PD= | PD | Publication Date | Phrase | S PD=20060208 |
| PY= | PY | Publication Year | Phrase | S PY=2006 |
| RT= | RT | Record Type2 | Phrase | S RT=FULLTEXT |
| SF= | SF | Special Feature | Phrase | S SF=TABLE |
| UD= | None | Update | Phrase | S UD=9999 |
| None | WD | Word Count |
| Sets and terms may be limited by Basic Index suffixes, i.e., /CN, /CO, /LP, /TI, /TX (e.g., S S5/CO), as well as by the following features: | ||
| SUFFIX | FIELD NAME | EXAMPLES |
|---|---|---|
| /ENG | English-Language Records | S S3/ENG |
| /YYYY | Publication Year | S S2/2005:2006 |
| SORTABLE FIELDS | EXAMPLES |
|---|---|
| AN, CN, JN, MT, PD, PY, TI | SORT SORT S5/ALL/PY,D |
| RANK FIELDS | EXAMPLES |
|---|---|
| All phrase- and numeric-indexed fields in the Additional Indexes can be ranked. | RANK JN S3 |
| All records comprising a report can be grouped together with the REPORT TITLES command. | REPORT S2/TITLES |
| User-defined formats may be specified using the display codes indicated in the Search Options tables. | TYPE S3/CN,TX/1-5 |
| NO. |
DIALOGWEB FORMAT |
RECORD CONTENT |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -- | DIALOG Accession Number |
| 2 | -- | Full Record Except Text |
| 3 | Medium | Bibliographic Citation, Country Name, and Word Count |
| 4 | -- | Bibilographic Citation and Text |
| 5 | -- | Full Record Except Text (includes Lead Paragraph) |
| 6 | Short | Title, Country Name, and Word Count |
| 7 | Long | Bibilographic Citation and Text |
| 8 | -- | Title, Country Name, Company Name(s) and Word Count |
| 9 | Full | Full Record |
| K | -- | KWIC (Key Word In Context) displays a window of text; may be used alone or with other formats |
| FIELD NAME | EXAMPLES | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| DIALOG Accession Number | TYPE 2000016/5 DISPLAY 1500015/TI,CN PRINT 1000200/5 |
||
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